Smelting Percentages are Lies

[Midnightmare]

Sadly most of these horror stories are just confirmation bias. I've had a 60% smelt fail 7 times in a row, yet a 20% succeed many times in succession as well. My biggest rng-esus to the face was skill cards.... 8 times the same slot, thats 0.33^8 chance of that happening, 1 in 7110, try that on for size.

[Moe Moe Kyun]

I just failed a 95% magatama ornamentation ;_;

We same

[something]

hmm... is it possible when yoshitsune/kaguya partner gift bar isn't filled to current storyline max(the area you are up to), the successrate is lower than what it shows for current map level's equips?

[Rebecca]

wow this is also happening in this CyberStep game.

in Cosmic Break people always complain about the % in tunning stuff, stuff failing even at 95% XD (i also complain about this)

Do you remember the time when people had tunes fail with 100% success rate?

[CelestialRebirth]

I had a weapon's first smelt(87%)fail three times in a row.

I partly believe the OP, because this isn't the only MMO with "lying" RNG.

[OPPAI]

whilst all the bad rng,

I JUST MANAGED TO SMELT TO +50 WITHOUT FAIL HAHAHAH
it's just the bad RNG guys

[GasaiYuno]

wow this is also happening in this CyberStep game.

in Cosmic Break people always complain about the % in tunning stuff, stuff failing even at 95% XD (i also complain about this)

Do you remember the time when people had tunes fail with 100% success rate?

oh yeah, i remember that

[Dyz0]

I just failed first smelt on Thunderbolt at 95%. Wasted a day of farming Foudoe bows and Nue Hearts.

[Argentum]

wow this is also happening in this CyberStep game.

in Cosmic Break people always complain about the % in tunning stuff, stuff failing even at 95% XD (i also complain about this)

there is no issue with something failing at a 95% success chance, the problem is with how often it fails. especially in a row. sadly its not unusual to fail 95% three times in a row in cosmic break and onigiri alike.

as for the 100% fails back in CB, i think this might have been linked to the 95% cap you can reach by adding harmonics. well, at least they fixed that issue and they gave back the materials used for the tune as well (if you actually bothered opening the ticket)